Please see the below summary of the most recent forecasts for the storm that is expected to impact the Tri-County area.
Storm 2: Saturday Night through Tuesday (Feb 3-6)
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- Better clarity on timing and amounts
- Peak Sunday through Monday
- Strong and damaging winds
- Large waves and potential coastal flooding
- Rain Forecasts still call for 3-6” in general
- +/- 1” of forecast now
- 20% chance of T-storms Sun Night to Monday
- Peak rates
- 1hr: ½-1”
- 3hr: 2-3”
- Local Rainfall forecasts
- Santa Babara 6.43”
- Ojai- 9.06”
- Oxnard- 5.02”
- Filmore- 6.81”
- Flood Watch issued for San Luis Obispo, Santa Barbara, Ventura, and Los Angeles Counties starting Sunday.
- 1 am Sunday to 4 pm Tuesday
- Sunday 40% for SLO, Santa Maria, Santa Barbara, Oxnard, Filmore, Simi Valley
- Monday ADD LATER
- Santa Barbara Airport
- The total two-day rainfall amounts appear to be among the top three highest all-time records.
- Flooding
- Lots of freeway flooding in highly populated areas
- 101 in VNC/SBC
- Ventura River is forecasted to surpass flood stage late Sunday night to early Monday morning, which is 17.6”
- Sisquoc River has a small risk of flood monitor stage, and Santa Ynez shows below flood stage (this accounts for reservoir discharges)
- Lots of freeway flooding in highly populated areas
- Wind Risks
- 40-60mph winds across all regions
- 55-75mph in the mountains
- Sunday is the highest concern time for damaging winds
- Waves
- 16-22 ft in Central Coast from the S-SW Sunday afternoon
- Avila Beach and Port SLO are especially at risk
- 8-12 ft elsewhere
- 16-22 ft in Central Coast from the S-SW Sunday afternoon
- High likelihood to be equal or stronger than the Jan 9th 2023 storm for Santa Barbara and South