Please see the below summary of the most recent forecasts for the storm that is expected to impact the Tri-County area.

Storm 2: Saturday Night through Tuesday (Feb 3-6)

    • Better clarity on timing and amounts
    • Peak Sunday through Monday
    • Strong and damaging winds
    • Large waves and potential coastal flooding
  • Rain Forecasts still call for 3-6” in general
    • +/- 1” of forecast now
    • 20% chance of T-storms Sun Night to Monday
  • Peak rates
    • 1hr: ½-1”
    • 3hr: 2-3”
  • Local Rainfall forecasts
    • Santa Babara 6.43”
    • Ojai- 9.06”
    • Oxnard- 5.02”
    • Filmore- 6.81”
  • Flood Watch issued for San Luis Obispo, Santa Barbara, Ventura, and Los Angeles Counties starting Sunday.
    • 1 am Sunday to 4 pm Tuesday
    • Sunday 40% for SLO, Santa Maria, Santa Barbara, Oxnard, Filmore, Simi Valley
    • Monday ADD LATER
  • Santa Barbara Airport
    • The total two-day rainfall amounts appear to be among the top three highest all-time records.
  • Flooding
    • Lots of freeway flooding in highly populated areas
      • 101 in VNC/SBC
    • Ventura River is forecasted to surpass flood stage late Sunday night to early Monday morning, which is 17.6”
    • Sisquoc River has a small risk of flood monitor stage, and Santa Ynez shows below flood stage (this accounts for reservoir discharges)
  • Wind Risks
    • 40-60mph winds across all regions
    • 55-75mph in the mountains
    • Sunday is the highest concern time for damaging winds
  • Waves
    • 16-22 ft in Central Coast from the S-SW Sunday afternoon
      • Avila Beach and Port SLO are especially at risk
    • 8-12 ft elsewhere
  • High likelihood to be equal or stronger than the Jan 9th 2023 storm for Santa Barbara and South